Preparing for Craze Ultra 2018

Reference : Craze Ultra 2018

BACKGROUND

The Craze Ultra 2018 will be happening on 3 Nov 18. I will be attempting the 101km event once again.

PREPAREDNESS STATUS

For this year's event, I did not have much time to train as I was quite busy with other commitments hovering work and life. I ended up running much lesser but I made it up with hiking at Bukit Timah Hills regularly.

Though I have lost a fair bit of weight and pass my health checks this year, I don't think I have sufficiently conditioned this time round... But I still hope that I could complete this race for the third time.

Training Log for the Last Few Months

Oct 18  - 120 km+

Sep 18 - 207 km

Aug 18 - 96 km

Jul 18 - 78 km

Jun 18 - 130 km

SET TARGETS

My primary Target set is to complete this race.
Secondary Target is to complete it within 21 hours. this would mean that my pacing for the entire race (inclusive of rest intervals) must be < 12min/km (or 5km/hr).

PREDICTING COMPLETION TIME PREDICTIONS

Anyway, I did some Data Analytics based on my previous run data and attempted to predict my race time for 2019. Let us wait and see if my prediction is accurate. :)

COLLECTED DATA FOR 2016 AND 2017				2018 PREDICATION BASED ON DATA ANALYTICS (DA)
Cum Distance (KM)	Cum Time (2016)	Cum Time (2017)	Average for 2016 and 2017	Cum Distance (2018)	Cum Time (2018)	Pace (2018)
0	0h 0m	0h 0m	0h 0m	0	0h 0m	8m 19s
12	1h 33m	1h 34m	1h 33m
13.5	1h 52m	1h 45m	1h 48m	13.7	1h 54m	9m 2s
21.5	2h 58m	2h 59m	2h 59m	22.3	3h 21m	9m 24s
30	4h 41m	4h 20m	4h 31m	30.9	4h 50m	9m 43s
37	5h 56m	5h 39m	5h 48m	44.5	7h 13m	10m 33s
50.5	8h 34m	7h 48m	8h 11m	52.7	9h 16m	10m 32s
62	11h 30m	10h 18m	10h 54m	59.2	10h 24m	10m 51s
71	13h 5m	11h 51m	12h 28m	65.7	11h 53m	11m 23s
79.5	15h 12m	13h 34m	14h 23m	73.9	14h 1m	11m 53s
89	18h 17m	15h 29m	16h 53m	87.5	17h 19m	13m 3s
101	21h 16m	18h 43m	19h 59m	101.2	22h 0m

TO BE CONTINUED

For now till to 3 Nov 18, do stay safe and see you at the start line.  :)